GRIFFITH ASIA INSTITUTE - RESERACH SEMINAR SERIES
Is Australia’s business cycle “Made in China?”
Presented by: Dr James Laurenceson, Senior Lecturer in Economics, The University of Queensland
An assertion frequently found in Australia’s macroeconomic commentary is that shocks emanating from the US now play second-fiddle to those from China in driving the business cycle. Using a Time Varying Structural VAR model, we put this hypothesis to the empirical test. The results indicate that a demand shock in China only has a modest impact on real GDP growth in Australia. We list a number of reasons why the impact of developments in China on Australia’s business cycle should not be overstated. Extensions to the research that are currently underway will also be discussed.
James Laurenceson is a Senior Lecturer in Economics at The University of Queensland. He has previously held appointments at Shimonoseki City University in Japan and Shandong University in China. His research focuses exclusively on the Chinese economy and has been published in international, peer-reviewed journals such as China Economic Review, China Economic Journal and Economics of Transition.
-Thursday 19 September 2013
-N72, Meeting Room -1.18
- Nathan campus
- 12.30 – 1:50pm
To RSVP contact Natasha Vary on (07) 3735 5322 or n.vary@griffith.edu.au by 5.00pm Monday 16 September 2013.
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RSVP on or before Monday 16 September 2013 , by email n.vary@griffith.edu.au , or by phone 37355322