Professor Emeritus Colin Mackerras, AO, FAHA
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Trump's foreign policy appears radical, but is still unpredictable and uncertain. In particular, signs are mixed in terms of US relations with China.
Australia's 1951 ANZUS Treaty with the US affects all its international relations, especially with China. But Trump's protectionist and "America first" attitude could have the effect of reducing US economic impact worldwide at precisely the time China is increasing influence through its "One Belt, One Road" policy. The long-term implications are unclear but could be profound.
China has been Australia's top trading partner for several years. Several commentators have suggested that Australia should reduce its dependency on the US and move towards China, not only economically but even strategically. Though commentators are strongly divided on this issue, at least one suggests this process has already begun. The paper argues that this policy is in Australia's interests overall, but explores the ramifications.
Colin Mackerras, AO, FAHA, has been at Griffith University since 1974 as foundation professor and professor emeritus, and is a long-time observer of China. The topics of his many publications include China's traditional theatre, ethnic minorities and Chinese medieval and modern history, as well as Australia's relations with China. He has visited China for teaching, research and other purposes about 70 times.
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